Why We're Better at Financial Software

This is all about attempting to profit wildly (0.5% to 2.5% weekly on fully-invested positions) by predicting the future, very short-term, using leverage most of the time, on the ever-changing "current fair value" of broad markets and/or asset classes, based on the ever-changing "state of humanity."

Unlike hedge funds, that maintain many little bets on many different things going on at the same time trying to predict the future, when I make a call, 90% to 100% of the money available will be in that one position.

To make an extremely long story extremely short on this page, I'm probably the best living expert on determining the markets' ever-changing current fair value based on the ever-changing state of humanity, just from gut feel intuition (and my one unique market timing signal indicator).

I've found that all other market timing signal indicators are mostly useless and have little-to-no short-term predictive value (e.g., past prices, wave theories, econometric models, charting, historical trends, all computer programs, statistical relationships that worked in the past, correlation coefficients, oscillators, this that the other, and all of the totally useless technobabble tools technicians, day traders, and other market timers use).

If any of that nonsense worked even in the slightest, there would be the same market timers on TV daily being praised as miracle-working gurus because they'd be making "more money than God."

Instead, the market timer that was right last week is on until their luck runs out, then they're replaced by the next one that was right the last week. It's rarely the same ones because when they're right, it's totally because of a random lucky guess. Their luck usually only lasts a month or so, then they're fired and replaced (gotta keep those ratings up!).

This is a totally different, and never-before-tried way of doing things.

I stay constantly plugged into the state of humanity, and thus am able to constantly determine the current fair value of select broad markets (like the S&P 500), and to a much lesser-degree, the 21 asset classes I've worked with as an asset allocator since 2000.

So I won't ever be doing anything with stocks or individual securities. It's all about timing and day-trading around broad market levels.

That's all there is to it. It's that simple, and it works ~90% of the time.

Please note that market current fair values, noise ranges to be ignored, buy and sell ranges, rules, and all that - are top secret and will not be divulged to anyone for any reason, even subscribers.

Also, I'm not using the Market Timing Calculator I invented, as Mr. Market Timer is a totally different service than all of that. That unique investing tool is for using custom market timing signals to form custom investment strategies in order to time asset class weightings of combined investment portfolios. None of that nonsense works at all either.

I only use one unique signal indicator, because that's all that's needed.

The reason I'm the best person alive that's qualified to maintain this unique market timing signal, is because I probably know in excruciating detail, way more about the financial services industry than anyone else alive. This site is a very unique business, because it's based on "trickle-up economics," and not trickle-down economics, like 99.9% of all other business models. This pretty much tells me on a daily basis "what's going on," and what's probably to come short-term (usually one week to three weeks).

So I know by news feeds, daily web traffic, select page traffic, activity, inquiries, new sales, types of sales, renewals and updates, what people say when they e-mail and call and blog, how excited or depressed they are, how much money they're making, what they're actually doing and what decisions they're making in their personal and business lives, and all that - how the average American feels about the current state of humanity; what they're doing, what they're going to do - and most importantly, how much they're all, "stuck frozen like a deer in headlights" - on a daily basis.

All of this daily sentiment then usually gets acted out in the Real World with remarkable accuracy over the next few weeks.

Just from this, I've been able to forecast, with great accuracy, how the markets will act and react short-term, and also what the current quarter's GDP, employment, interest rates, inflation will be; plus how much everyone will "consume," what the basic economy will be like in general, etc., so on and so forth. This has all had an accuracy rate of around 90% so far since I figured it all out and have been paying close attention on a daily basis (~November '10).

Knowing all of this, combined with all of my vast wisdom about the financial services industry, has allowed me to create an investment strategy that works most of the time, and can be implemented for profit in the Real World.

So the goal is to eke out a mere 0.5% to 2.5% weekly to monthly on positions, which are all fully-invested. That may not seem like much, but here's what the annual rates of returns are on these small weekly rates when compounded:

Annualized rate of return on an average of 1% per week is ~168%
Annualized rate of return on an average of 2% per week is ~280%
Annualized rate of return on an average of 3% per week is ~465%

All that's really needed to cream all hedge funds (and then by default become the "World's Greatest Investor" - which I should already be just because of my long-term Asset Allocation Models' track record), is to just realize 0.5% per week, after transaction costs. This annualized is about 130%, which will probably cream most all hedge funds, most all of the time - regardless of market conditions. Just watch this page over time and you will see.

Please note that if you're an Investor Model or Mutual Fund Pick subscriber, Mr. Market Timer will have zero effect on all of that. They're two completely different services that have absolutely nothing at all to do with each other. If I thought timing asset class weightings could or would provide any value whatsoever, I would have been doing that since day one. It does not, so I don't do it at all. Also, this ability to forecast broad markets and asset classes short-term has zero affect on selecting the mutual funds on a monthly basis. If it did, then I'd find a way to use that to enhance the Models' returns, but it doesn't, so I don't.

Soon (maybe March), an actual live $10,000 test / demo account will be set up, and actual Real World trades will be made. Then all activity and results will be pasted into a Word docx that you can download for free from this page, so you can see proof. The goal is just to show proof of the returns in real time so you can see the results on a daily basis.

If you want a piece of this action, then it's going to come in the form of a "newsletter" that costs $1,000 per year to subscribe to. Then what you'll get will just be e-mails sent out to a subscriber database telling what the calls are - very similar to what's shown below in the test calls. There will also be rants about my opinions about the current state of affairs, and reasons for the calls.

You'll get an e-mail whenever a call is made, and then another one when it is unwound. There may be e-mails sent just to rant about current affairs (e.g., watch out there's a storm coming - cBomb bomb bomb, bomb bomb Iran! c).

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